Riding profile
Hitchin
The question
Hitchin: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Hitchin, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 28% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Alistair Strathern
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHitchin | 28.1% | 25.0% | 23.8% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +6.5 | 25.3% −0.4 | 18.9% +4.9 | 11.6% −0.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Strathern Elected | Labour | 23,067 | 43.9 | — |
| Bim Afolami | Conservative | 14,958 | 28.5 | — |
| Charles Bunker | Reform UK | 6,760 | 12.9 | — |
| Chris Lucas | Lib Dems | 4,913 | 9.4 | — |
| Will Lavin | Green | 2,631 | 5.0 | — |
| Sid Cordle | Other | 181 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029