Riding profile
St Albans
The question
St Albans: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
St Albans, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 46% vote share, against 17% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Daisy Cooper
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSt Albans | 45.7% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +34.1 | 25.3% −8.3 | 18.9% −4.0 | 11.8% −1.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Cooper Elected | Lib Dems | 29,222 | 56.6 | — |
| James Spencer | Conservative | 9,388 | 18.2 | — |
| Sophia Bhatti | Labour | 5,189 | 10.1 | — |
| John Dowdle | Reform UK | 4,336 | 8.4 | — |
| Simon Grover | Green | 3,272 | 6.3 | — |
| Dafydd Morriss | Other | 104 | 0.2 | — |
| Stewart Satterly | Other | 103 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029