Riding profile
Rutland and Stamford
The question
Rutland and Stamford: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Rutland and Stamford, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 36% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alicia Kearns
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRutland and Stamford | 35.7% | 26.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +16.8 | 25.3% +1.6 | 21.7% −8.4 | 11.6% +0.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia Kearns Elected | Conservative | 21,248 | 43.7 | — |
| Joe Wood | Labour | 10,854 | 22.3 | — |
| Chris Clowes | Reform UK | 7,008 | 14.4 | — |
| James Moore | Lib Dems | 6,252 | 12.9 | — |
| Emma Baker | Green | 2,806 | 5.8 | — |
| Joanna Burrows | Other | 409 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029