Riding profile
Melton and Syston
The question
Melton and Syston: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Melton and Syston, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 30% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Edward Argar
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.1
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMelton and Syston | 31.5% | 30.3% | 15.4% | 12.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.6 | 25.3% +5.0 | 21.7% −6.2 | 11.8% +0.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Argar Elected | Conservative | 17,526 | 38.1 | — |
| Zafran Khan | Labour | 12,130 | 26.4 | — |
| Pete Morris | Reform UK | 8,945 | 19.4 | — |
| Alastair McQuillan | Green | 3,685 | 8.0 | — |
| Andy Konieczko | Lib Dems | 2,547 | 5.5 | — |
| Marilyn Gordon | Other | 517 | 1.1 | — |
| Teck Khong | Other | 348 | 0.8 | — |
| Matt Shouler | Other | 288 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029