Rushcliffe
Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 13%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushcliffe | 35.9% | 27.8% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+9.5 | 20.0%+7.7 | 22.3%−4.1 | 9.7%+0.8 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 102,241 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 43 |
| Employment rate | 73.9% |
Current member
James Naish · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 12.9 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 8.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Naish Elected | Labour | 25,291 | 43.8 |
| Ruth Edwards | Conservative | 17,865 | 30.9 |
| James Grice | Reform UK | 6,353 | 11.0 |
| Richard Mallender | Green | 4,367 | 7.6 |
| Greg Webb | Lib Dems | 3,133 | 5.4 |
| Lynn Irving | Other | 549 | 1.0 |
| Harbant Sehra | Other | 186 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Nottingham East Labour, safe seat
- Nottingham South Labour, safe seat
- Gedling Labour, safe seat
- Loughborough Labour, competitive
- Nottingham North and Kimberley Labour, competitive
- Broxtowe Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated