Riding profile
Rushcliffe
The question
Rushcliffe: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.2
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRushcliffe | 28.2% | 26.0% | 22.9% | 12.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +6.3 | 19.3% +6.7 | 25.4% −2.4 | 10.8% +1.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Rushcliffe, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 28% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
James Naish
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Naish Elected | Labour | 25,291 | 43.8 | — |
| Ruth Edwards | Conservative | 17,865 | 30.9 | — |
| James Grice | Reform UK | 6,353 | 11.0 | — |
| Richard Mallender | Green | 4,367 | 7.6 | — |
| Greg Webb | Lib Dems | 3,133 | 5.4 | — |
| Lynn Irving | Other | 549 | 0.9 | — |
| Harbant Sehra | Other | 186 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029