Riding profile
Nottingham South
The question
Nottingham South: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Nottingham South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 31-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 34% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Lilian Greenwood
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNottingham South | 33.6% | 26.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +12.0 | 25.3% +1.5 | 11.8% | 18.9% −7.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilian Greenwood Elected | Labour | 15,579 | 47.4 | — |
| Zarmeena Quraishi | Conservative | 5,285 | 16.1 | — |
| Mykel Hedge | Reform UK | 4,936 | 15.0 | — |
| Cath Sutherland | Green | 2,923 | 8.9 | — |
| Christina Morgan-Danvers | Lib Dems | 2,059 | 6.3 | — |
| Paras Ghazni | Other | 1,496 | 4.5 | — |
| Shaghofta Akhtar | Other | 449 | 1.4 | — |
| Mohammed Sayeed | Other | 152 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029