Riding profile

Nottingham East

UK constituency — England · Urban · east midlands

The question

Nottingham East: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Nottingham East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 21% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Nadia Whittome

Sits with Labour

Since
2019-12-12
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 38.1%
  • Green 21.0%
  • Reform UK 18.4%
  • Other 8.0%
  • Conservative 7.6%
  • Lib Dems 6.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Other
HereNottingham East 38.1%21.0%18.4%8.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +16.5 11.8% +9.2 25.3% −6.9 4.8% +3.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
41.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-26.3 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Nadia Whittome Elected Labour 19,494 53.5
Rosemary Palmer Green 4,332 11.9
Johno Lee Conservative 3,925 10.8
Debbie Stephens Reform UK 3,578 9.8
Issan Ghazni Other 2,465 6.8
Anita Prabharkar Lib Dems 1,741 4.8
Naveed Rashid Other 494 1.4
Ali Khan Other 372 1.0

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
124,191
Median age
29
Employment rate
65.0%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029