Riding profile
Nottingham North and Kimberley
The question
Nottingham North and Kimberley: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.9
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNottingham North and Kimberley | 31.9% | 31.0% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +10.1 | 25.4% +5.7 | 19.3% −2.3 | 10.8% +3.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Nottingham North and Kimberley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 32% vote share, against 31% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Alex Norris
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Norris Elected | Labour | 16,480 | 47.1 | — |
| Golam Kadiri | Reform UK | 7,053 | 20.1 | — |
| Caroline Henry | Conservative | 6,787 | 19.4 | — |
| Sam Harvey | Green | 3,351 | 9.6 | — |
| David Schmitz | Lib Dems | 1,336 | 3.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029