Riding profile
Broxtowe
The question
Broxtowe: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Broxtowe, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Juliet Campbell
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBroxtowe | 28.1% | 26.5% | 18.9% | 12.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +2.7 | 21.7% +4.9 | 18.9% | 11.8% +0.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliet Campbell Elected | Labour | 19,561 | 40.9 | — |
| Darren Henry | Conservative | 11,158 | 23.3 | — |
| Joseph Oakley | Reform UK | 8,402 | 17.6 | — |
| James Collis | Lib Dems | 3,807 | 8.0 | — |
| Teresa Needham | Green | 3,488 | 7.3 | — |
| John Doddy | Other | 1,034 | 2.2 | — |
| Maqsood Syed | Other | 388 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029