Riding profile

Loughborough

UK constituency — England · Mixed · east midlands

The question

Loughborough: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Loughborough, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Dr Jeevun Sandher

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Reform UK

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
2.0
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Reform UK 28.0%
  • Labour 27.5%
  • Conservative 23.7%
  • Green 12.0%
  • Lib Dems 7.5%
  • Other 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Reform UK Labour Conservative Green
HereLoughborough 28.0%27.5%23.7%12.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 25.3% +2.7 21.7% +5.8 18.9% +4.8 11.8% +0.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
11.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-9.8 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jeevun Sandher Elected Labour 17,249 40.8
Jane Hunt Conservative 12,289 29.1
Andy McWilliam Reform UK 7,204 17.1
Hans Zollinger-Ball Green 2,956 7.0
Ian Sharpe Lib Dems 2,561 6.1

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
101,145
Median age
36
Employment rate
65.1%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029