Riding profile

Loughborough

UK constituency — England · Mixed · east midlands

The question

Loughborough: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Reform UK

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
3.8
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Reform UK 30.4%
  • Labour 26.7%
  • Conservative 22.4%
  • Green 12.8%
  • Lib Dems 6.3%
  • Other 1.1%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Reform UK Labour Conservative Green
HereLoughborough 30.4%26.7%22.4%12.8%
National averageUnited Kingdom 25.4% +5.0 21.8% +4.8 19.3% +3.1 10.8% +2.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Loughborough, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Dr Jeevun Sandher

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
11.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.0 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jeevun Sandher Elected Labour 17,249 40.8 —
Jane Hunt Conservative 12,289 29.1 —
Andy McWilliam Reform UK 7,204 17.1 —
Hans Zollinger-Ball Green 2,956 7.0 —
Ian Sharpe Lib Dems 2,561 6.1 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
101,145
Median age
36
Employment rate
65.1%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029