Riding profile

Leicester West

UK constituency — England · Urban · east midlands

The question

Leicester West: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Leicester West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 31% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Liz Kendall

Sits with Labour

Since
2010-05-06
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
2.6
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 30.7%
  • Reform UK 26.5%
  • Green 15.9%
  • Conservative 15.7%
  • Lib Dems 7.8%
  • Other 3.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Green Conservative
HereLeicester West 30.7%26.5%15.9%15.7%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +9.0 25.3% +1.2 11.8% +4.1 18.9% −3.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
24.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-22.2 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Liz Kendall Elected Labour 15,798 44.6
Max Chauhan Conservative 7,021 19.8
Ian Hayes Reform UK 5,666 16.0
Aasiya Bora Green 4,089 11.6
Benjamin Feist Lib Dems 2,179 6.2
Rahoul Naik Other 327 0.9
Steve Score Other 317 0.9

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
127,820
Median age
33
Employment rate
73.0%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029