Riding profile
Leicester South
The question
Leicester South: will Independent lose this seat to Other?
Editorial read
Leicester South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 32% vote share, against 22% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Shockat Adam
Sits with Independent
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeicester South | 31.9% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +27.1 | 21.7% +0.1 | 25.3% −8.8 | 11.8% +3.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shockat Adam Elected | Other | 14,739 | 35.2 | — |
| Jonathan Ashworth | Labour | 13,760 | 32.9 | — |
| Gerri Hickton | Conservative | 4,820 | 11.5 | — |
| Sharmen Rahman | Green | 3,826 | 9.1 | — |
| Craig Harwood | Reform UK | 2,470 | 5.9 | — |
| Carol Weaver | Lib Dems | 1,425 | 3.4 | — |
| Osman Admani | Other | 329 | 0.8 | — |
| Ann Green | Other | 279 | 0.7 | — |
| Ezechiel Adlore | Other | 189 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029