Riding profile
Leicester South
The question
Leicester South: will Independent lose this seat to Other?
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Labour | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeicester South | 35.5% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 13.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 5.0% +30.5 | 21.8% −0.3 | 10.8% +7.9 | 25.4% −11.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Leicester South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 36% vote share, against 22% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Shockat Adam
Sits with Independent
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shockat Adam Elected | Other | 14,739 | 35.2 | — |
| Jonathan Ashworth | Labour | 13,760 | 32.9 | — |
| Gerri Hickton | Conservative | 4,820 | 11.5 | — |
| Sharmen Rahman | Green | 3,826 | 9.1 | — |
| Craig Harwood | Reform UK | 2,470 | 5.9 | — |
| Carol Weaver | Lib Dems | 1,425 | 3.4 | — |
| Osman Admani | Other | 329 | 0.8 | — |
| Ann Green | Other | 279 | 0.7 | — |
| Ezechiel Adlore | Other | 189 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029