Riding profile
Leicester East
The question
Leicester East: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Leicester East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 25% vote share, against 18% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Shivani Raja
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Other | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeicester East | 25.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +6.2 | 25.3% −7.1 | 4.8% +13.1 | 21.7% −6.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shivani Raja Elected | Conservative | 14,526 | 31.1 | — |
| Rajesh Agrawal | Labour | 10,100 | 21.6 | — |
| Zuffar Haq | Lib Dems | 6,329 | 13.6 | — |
| Claudia Webbe | Other | 5,532 | 11.8 | — |
| Keith Vaz | Other | 3,681 | 7.9 | — |
| Raj Solanki | Reform UK | 2,611 | 5.6 | — |
| Mags Lewis | Green | 2,143 | 4.6 | — |
| Malihah Adam | Other | 974 | 2.1 | — |
| Nagarjun Agath | Other | 703 | 1.5 | — |
| Khandu Patel | Other | 115 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029