Riding profile
Leicester East
The question
Leicester East: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.3
- P(close race)
- 95%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Other | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLeicester East | 25.8% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 13.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +6.4 | 5.0% +16.4 | 25.4% −6.3 | 21.8% −8.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Leicester East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 26% vote share, against 21% for another party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Shivani Raja
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shivani Raja Elected | Conservative | 14,526 | 31.1 | — |
| Rajesh Agrawal | Labour | 10,100 | 21.6 | — |
| Zuffar Haq | Lib Dems | 6,329 | 13.6 | — |
| Claudia Webbe | Other | 5,532 | 11.8 | — |
| Keith Vaz | Other | 3,681 | 7.9 | — |
| Raj Solanki | Reform UK | 2,611 | 5.6 | — |
| Mags Lewis | Green | 2,143 | 4.6 | — |
| Malihah Adam | Other | 974 | 2.1 | — |
| Nagarjun Agath | Other | 703 | 1.5 | — |
| Khandu Patel | Other | 115 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029