Riding profile
Bicester and Woodstock
The question
Bicester and Woodstock: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBicester and Woodstock | 35.2% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 9.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +23.8 | 19.3% +3.9 | 25.4% −3.8 | 21.8% −12.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Bicester and Woodstock, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 35% vote share, against 23% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Calum Miller
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Miller Elected | Lib Dems | 19,419 | 38.7 | — |
| Rupert Harrison | Conservative | 14,461 | 28.8 | — |
| Veronica Oakeshott | Labour | 8,236 | 16.4 | — |
| Augustine Obodo | Reform UK | 5,408 | 10.8 | — |
| Ian Middleton | Green | 2,404 | 4.8 | — |
| Tim Funnell | Other | 291 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029