Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Didcot and Wantage

Westminster constituency · England · South East

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Lib Dems a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.9 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Lib Dems 34.8%
  • Conservative 24.8%
  • Reform UK 19.2%
  • Labour 11.6%
  • Green 7.0%
  • Other 2.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Lib Dems Conservative Reform UK Labour
Didcot and Wantage 34.8%24.8%19.2%11.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 9.9%+24.9 20.0%+4.8 22.3%−3.0 26.5%−14.9

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population109,312
Median age40
Employment rate87.7%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Olly Glover · Lib Dems

In office since July 4, 2024. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Lib Dems won by 11.4 points.

Our current projection: the Lib Dems ahead by 9.9 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Olly Glover Elected Lib Dems 21,793 39.8
David Johnston Conservative 15,560 28.4
Mocky Khan Labour 8,045 14.7
Steve Beatty Reform UK 6,400 11.7
Sam Casey-Rerhaye Green 2,693 4.9
Kyn Pomlett Other 242 0.4

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated