Riding profile

Reading West and Mid Berkshire

UK constituency — England · Mixed · south east

The question

Reading West and Mid Berkshire: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Reading West and Mid Berkshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 26% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Olivia Bailey

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
1.7
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 26.4%
  • Reform UK 24.9%
  • Labour 22.3%
  • Lib Dems 12.0%
  • Green 11.7%
  • Other 2.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Reform UK Labour Lib Dems
HereReading West and Mid Berkshire 26.4%24.9%22.3%12.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 18.9% +7.5 25.3% −0.5 21.7% +0.6 11.6% +0.3

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
2.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-1.2 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Olivia Bailey Elected Labour 16,273 35.0
Ross Mackinnon Conservative 14,912 32.0
Kathrin Bosley Reform UK 6,260 13.4
Helen Belcher Lib Dems 5,103 11.0
Carolyne Culver Green 3,169 6.8
Adrian Abbs Other 562 1.2
Adie Peppiatt Other 272 0.6

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
95,642
Median age
42
Employment rate
74.1%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029