Riding profile
North West Hampshire
The question
North West Hampshire: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
North West Hampshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Kit Malthouse
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.8
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth West Hampshire | 28.3% | 27.4% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +9.4 | 25.3% +2.1 | 21.7% −4.7 | 11.6% +3.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kit Malthouse Elected | Conservative | 17,770 | 35.0 | — |
| Andy Fitchet | Labour | 14,482 | 28.5 | — |
| Andy Meacham | Reform UK | 7,734 | 15.2 | — |
| Luigi Gregori | Lib Dems | 7,626 | 15.0 | — |
| Hina West | Green | 2,745 | 5.4 | — |
| Phil Heath | Other | 466 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029