Riding profile
Earley and Woodley
The question
Earley and Woodley: will Labour lose this seat to Conservative?
Editorial read
Earley and Woodley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Yuan Yang
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEarley and Woodley | 31.3% | 25.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.4 | 21.7% +4.3 | 25.3% −10.9 | 11.6% +1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuan Yang Elected | Labour | 18,209 | 39.7 | — |
| Pauline Jorgensen | Conservative | 17,361 | 37.8 | — |
| Tahir Maher | Lib Dems | 6,142 | 13.4 | — |
| Gary Shacklady | Green | 3,418 | 7.4 | — |
| Alastair Hunter | Other | 784 | 1.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029