Riding profile
Maidenhead
The question
Maidenhead: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Maidenhead, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 35% vote share, against 30% for the Conservatives, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Mr Joshua Reynolds
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Competitive
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.2
- P(close race)
- 17%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMaidenhead | 35.4% | 30.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +23.8 | 18.9% +11.3 | 25.3% −11.3 | 21.7% −13.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Reynolds Elected | Lib Dems | 21,895 | 43.5 | — |
| Tania Mathias | Conservative | 18,932 | 37.6 | — |
| Jo Smith | Labour | 5,766 | 11.5 | — |
| Andrew Cooney | Green | 1,996 | 4.0 | — |
| George Wright | Other | 791 | 1.6 | — |
| Tim Burt | Other | 518 | 1.0 | — |
| Qazi Irshad | Other | 431 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029