Riding profile
Windsor
The question
Windsor: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Windsor, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 29% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jack Rankin
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Lib Dems | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWindsor | 29.2% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 14.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +10.3 | 25.3% −2.3 | 11.6% +7.8 | 21.7% −7.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Rankin Elected | Conservative | 16,483 | 36.4 | — |
| Pavitar Mann | Labour | 10,026 | 22.2 | — |
| Julian Tisi | Lib Dems | 9,539 | 21.1 | — |
| Harl Grewal | Reform UK | 4,660 | 10.3 | — |
| Michael Boyle | Green | 2,288 | 5.1 | — |
| David Buckley | Other | 1,629 | 3.6 | — |
| Simran Dhillon | Other | 621 | 1.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029