Riding profile
Runnymede and Weybridge
The question
Runnymede and Weybridge: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
Runnymede and Weybridge, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 24% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dr Ben Spencer
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Lib Dems | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRunnymede and Weybridge | 31.1% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 13.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.2 | 25.3% −1.5 | 11.6% +8.7 | 21.7% −8.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spencer Elected | Conservative | 18,442 | 38.2 | — |
| Ellen Nicholson | Lib Dems | 10,815 | 22.4 | — |
| Robert King | Labour | 9,963 | 20.6 | — |
| Stewart Mackay | Reform UK | 6,419 | 13.3 | — |
| Steven Ringham | Green | 1,954 | 4.0 | — |
| Michael Cressey | Other | 518 | 1.1 | — |
| Nicholas Wood | Other | 142 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029