Riding profile
Runnymede and Weybridge
The question
Runnymede and Weybridge: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Lib Dems | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRunnymede and Weybridge | 31.8% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 14.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +12.5 | 25.4% −2.8 | 11.4% +10.2 | 21.8% −7.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Runnymede and Weybridge, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 32% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dr Ben Spencer
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spencer Elected | Conservative | 18,442 | 38.2 | — |
| Ellen Nicholson | Lib Dems | 10,815 | 22.4 | — |
| Robert King | Labour | 9,963 | 20.6 | — |
| Stewart Mackay | Reform UK | 6,419 | 13.3 | — |
| Steven Ringham | Green | 1,954 | 4.0 | — |
| Michael Cressey | Other | 518 | 1.1 | — |
| Nicholas Wood | Other | 142 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029