Riding profile

Slough

UK constituency — England · Urban · south east

The question

Slough: will Labour lose this seat to Other?

Current forecast

Other

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
8.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Other 30.0%
  • Labour 22.1%
  • Reform UK 15.5%
  • Conservative 15.5%
  • Green 10.8%
  • Lib Dems 5.8%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Other Labour Reform UK Conservative
HereSlough 30.0%22.1%15.5%15.5%
National averageUnited Kingdom 5.0% +25.0 21.8% +0.3 25.4% −9.8 19.3% −3.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Slough, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 30% vote share, against 22% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Mr Tanmanjeet Singh Dhesi

Sits with Labour

Since
2017-06-08
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
1.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.1 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Tan Dhesi Elected Labour 14,666 33.9
Azhard Chohan Other 11,019 25.5
Moni Kaur Nanda Conservative 7,457 17.2
Robin Jackson Reform UK 3,352 7.8
Chelsea Whyte Lib Dems 2,060 4.8
Julian Edmonds Green 1,873 4.3
Adnan Shabbir Other 1,105 2.5
Chandra Muvvala Other 995 2.3
Diana Coad Other 402 0.9
Jaswinder Singh Other 204 0.5
Nick Smith Other 145 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
138,160
Median age
35
Employment rate
77.2%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029