Riding profile
Bracknell
The question
Bracknell: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Bracknell, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 28% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Peter Swallow
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.1
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBracknell | 28.3% | 26.1% | 20.8% | 11.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +3.0 | 18.9% +7.2 | 21.7% −0.8 | 11.6% −0.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Swallow Elected | Labour | 14,783 | 33.7 | — |
| James Sunderland | Conservative | 13,999 | 31.9 | — |
| Malcolm Tullett | Reform UK | 7,445 | 17.0 | — |
| Katie Mansfield | Lib Dems | 4,768 | 10.9 | — |
| Emily Torode | Green | 2,166 | 4.9 | — |
| Olivio Barreto | Other | 480 | 1.1 | — |
| Jason Reardon | Other | 196 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029