Riding profile
Wokingham
The question
Wokingham: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Wokingham, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 38% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Clive Jones
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWokingham | 38.2% | 25.8% | 20.1% | 8.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +26.5 | 18.9% +6.9 | 25.3% −5.3 | 11.8% −3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clive Jones Elected | Lib Dems | 25,743 | 47.7 | — |
| Lucy Demery | Conservative | 17,398 | 32.2 | — |
| Colin Wright | Reform UK | 5,274 | 9.8 | — |
| Monica Hamidi | Labour | 3,631 | 6.7 | — |
| Merv Boniface | Green | 1,953 | 3.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029