Riding profile
Wycombe
The question
Wycombe: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Wycombe, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 24% vote share, against 23% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Emma Reynolds
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.4
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWycombe | 24.1% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 12.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% −1.3 | 21.7% +1.1 | 18.9% +1.1 | 11.6% +0.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Reynolds Elected | Labour | 16,035 | 35.9 | — |
| Steve Baker | Conservative | 11,444 | 25.6 | — |
| Richard Phoenix | Reform UK | 4,769 | 10.7 | — |
| Toni Brodelle | Lib Dems | 4,236 | 9.5 | — |
| Khalil Ahmed | Other | 3,344 | 7.5 | — |
| Catherine Bunting | Green | 2,193 | 4.9 | — |
| Ajaz Rehman | Other | 1,913 | 4.3 | — |
| Ed Gemmell | Other | 489 | 1.1 | — |
| Mark Smallwood | Other | 214 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029