Riding profile
Wycombe
The question
Wycombe: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWycombe | 23.6% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 12.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +1.8 | 19.3% +3.0 | 25.4% −5.9 | 5.0% +7.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Wycombe, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 24% vote share, against 22% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Emma Reynolds
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Reynolds Elected | Labour | 16,035 | 35.9 | — |
| Steve Baker | Conservative | 11,444 | 25.6 | — |
| Richard Phoenix | Reform UK | 4,769 | 10.7 | — |
| Toni Brodelle | Lib Dems | 4,236 | 9.5 | — |
| Khalil Ahmed | Other | 3,344 | 7.5 | — |
| Catherine Bunting | Green | 2,193 | 4.9 | — |
| Ajaz Rehman | Other | 1,913 | 4.3 | — |
| Ed Gemmell | Other | 489 | 1.1 | — |
| Mark Smallwood | Other | 214 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029