Riding profile
Oxford East
The question
Oxford East: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Other | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereOxford East | 35.2% | 21.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +13.4 | 10.8% +10.2 | 5.0% +8.8 | 25.4% −14.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Oxford East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 35% vote share, against 21% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Anneliese Dodds
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anneliese Dodds Elected | Labour | 19,541 | 49.7 | — |
| Sushila Dhall | Green | 5,076 | 12.9 | — |
| Louise Brown | Conservative | 4,739 | 12.1 | — |
| Theodore Jupp | Lib Dems | 3,437 | 8.7 | — |
| David Henwood | Other | 2,381 | 6.0 | — |
| Amir Ali | Other | 1,761 | 4.5 | — |
| Zaid Marham | Other | 615 | 1.6 | — |
| Jabu Nala-Hartley | Other | 600 | 1.5 | — |
| Andrew Smith | Other | 425 | 1.1 | — |
| Katherine Longthorp | Other | 337 | 0.9 | — |
| Benjamin Adams | Other | 232 | 0.6 | — |
| Brandon French | Other | 197 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029