Riding profile
Witney
The question
Witney: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWitney | 35.0% | 25.4% | 24.6% | 7.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +23.7 | 19.3% +6.1 | 25.4% −0.8 | 10.8% −3.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Witney, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 35% vote share, against 25% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Charlie Maynard
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Maynard Elected | Lib Dems | 20,832 | 41.2 | — |
| Robert Courts | Conservative | 16,493 | 32.6 | — |
| Richard Langridge | Reform UK | 6,307 | 12.5 | — |
| Antonio Weiss | Labour | 4,773 | 9.4 | — |
| Andrew Prosser | Green | 1,661 | 3.3 | — |
| Barry Ingleton | Other | 350 | 0.7 | — |
| David Cox | Other | 168 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029