Riding profile
Witney
The question
Witney: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Witney, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 32% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Charlie Maynard
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.8
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWitney | 32.1% | 26.3% | 23.2% | 8.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +20.4 | 18.9% +7.4 | 25.3% −2.1 | 11.8% −3.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Maynard Elected | Lib Dems | 20,832 | 41.2 | — |
| Robert Courts | Conservative | 16,493 | 32.6 | — |
| Richard Langridge | Reform UK | 6,307 | 12.5 | — |
| Antonio Weiss | Labour | 4,773 | 9.4 | — |
| Andrew Prosser | Green | 1,661 | 3.3 | — |
| Barry Ingleton | Other | 350 | 0.7 | — |
| David Cox | Other | 168 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029