Riding profile
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley
The question
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley: will Labour lose this seat to Other?
Editorial read
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 30% vote share, against 22% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Tahir Ali
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Labour | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBirmingham Hall Green and Moseley | 30.3% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +25.5 | 21.7% | 11.8% +4.2 | 25.3% −10.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahir Ali Elected | Labour | 12,798 | 30.8 | — |
| Shakeel Afsar | Other | 7,142 | 17.2 | — |
| Mohammed Hafeez | Other | 6,159 | 14.8 | — |
| Izzy Knowles | Lib Dems | 4,711 | 11.3 | — |
| Zain Ahmed | Green | 3,913 | 9.4 | — |
| Henry Morris | Conservative | 3,845 | 9.2 | — |
| Stephen McBrine | Reform UK | 2,305 | 5.5 | — |
| Babar Raja | Other | 733 | 1.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029