Riding profile
Birmingham Ladywood
The question
Birmingham Ladywood: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.2
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Other | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBirmingham Ladywood | 32.9% | 31.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +11.1 | 5.0% +26.7 | 10.8% +4.3 | 25.4% −13.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Birmingham Ladywood, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 32% for another party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Shabana Mahmood
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana Mahmood Elected | Labour | 15,558 | 42.5 | — |
| Akhmed Yakoob | Other | 12,137 | 33.2 | — |
| Zoe Challenor | Green | 3,478 | 9.5 | — |
| Shaz Muzammil | Conservative | 2,218 | 6.1 | — |
| Lee Dargue | Lib Dems | 1,711 | 4.7 | — |
| Irene Yoong-Henery | Reform UK | 1,477 | 4.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029