Riding profile

Blaydon and Consett

UK constituency — England · Mixed · north east

The question

Blaydon and Consett: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Blaydon and Consett, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 34% vote share, against 32% for Labour, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Liz Twist

Sits with Labour

Since
2017-06-08
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Reform UK

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
4.8
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Reform UK 34.4%
  • Labour 31.5%
  • Green 13.1%
  • Conservative 11.3%
  • Lib Dems 7.3%
  • Other 2.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Reform UK Labour Green Conservative
HereBlaydon and Consett 34.4%31.5%13.1%11.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 25.3% +9.1 21.7% +9.9 11.8% +1.3 18.9% −7.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
26.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-21.6 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Liz Twist Elected Labour 21,160 50.1
David Ayre Reform UK 10,007 23.7
Angela Sterling Conservative 6,052 14.3
Richard Simpson Green 2,589 6.1
Vicky Anderson Lib Dems 2,273 5.4
Paul Topping Other 135 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
92,199
Median age
44
Employment rate
77.4%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029