Riding profile
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
The question
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Dame Chi Onwurah
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNewcastle upon Tyne Central and West | 30.9% | 28.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +9.3 | 25.3% +3.5 | 11.8% +1.5 | 4.8% +6.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chi Onwurah Elected | Labour | 18,875 | 45.6 | — |
| Ashton Muncaster | Reform UK | 7,815 | 18.9 | — |
| Frances Lasok | Conservative | 4,228 | 10.2 | — |
| Yvonne Ridley | Other | 3,627 | 8.8 | — |
| John Pearson | Green | 3,228 | 7.8 | — |
| Ali Avaei | Lib Dems | 1,946 | 4.7 | — |
| Habib Rahman | Other | 1,636 | 4.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gateshead Central and WhickhamLabour Toss-upOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne NorthLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Blaydon and ConsettReform UK Toss-upOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and WallsendLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Cramlington and KillingworthReform UK Toss-upOpen →
- North DurhamReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029