Riding profile
Cramlington and Killingworth
The question
Cramlington and Killingworth: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Cramlington and Killingworth, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 31% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Emma Foody
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.8
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCramlington and Killingworth | 32.9% | 31.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +7.6 | 21.7% +9.3 | 18.9% −4.1 | 11.8% −0.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Foody Elected | Labour | 22,274 | 49.1 | — |
| Gordon Fletcher | Reform UK | 9,454 | 20.8 | — |
| Ian Levy | Conservative | 8,592 | 18.9 | — |
| Ian Jones | Green | 2,144 | 4.7 | — |
| Thom Campion | Lib Dems | 1,898 | 4.2 | — |
| Scott Lee | Other | 573 | 1.3 | — |
| Dawn Furness | Other | 322 | 0.7 | — |
| Mathew Wilkinson | Other | 137 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Newcastle upon Tyne NorthLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne East and WallsendLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Blyth and AshingtonReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Jarrow and Gateshead EastReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- TynemouthLabour Safe seatOpen →
- Newcastle upon Tyne Central and WestLabour Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029