Riding profile
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
The question
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBognor Regis and Littlehampton | 30.9% | 28.3% | 17.6% | 12.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +5.5 | 19.3% +8.9 | 21.8% −4.2 | 11.4% +0.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 31% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Alison Griffiths
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Griffiths Elected | Conservative | 15,678 | 32.8 | — |
| Clare Walsh | Labour | 13,913 | 29.1 | — |
| Sandra Daniells | Reform UK | 10,262 | 21.5 | — |
| Henry Jones | Lib Dems | 5,081 | 10.6 | — |
| Carol Birch | Green | 2,185 | 4.6 | — |
| David Kurten | Other | 708 | 1.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029