Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Worthing West

Westminster constituency · England · South East

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a 86% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 77%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 31.1%
  • Conservative 28.1%
  • Reform UK 23.7%
  • Green 9.3%
  • Lib Dems 4.6%
  • Other 2.8%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Conservative Reform UK Green
Worthing West 31.1%28.1%23.7%9.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 26.5%+4.6 20.0%+8.1 22.3%+1.4 9.7%−0.3

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population100,568
Median age48
Employment rate82.5%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Dr Beccy Cooper · Labour

In office since July 4, 2024. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 7.7 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 3.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Beccy Cooper Elected Labour 20,519 40.2
Peter Bottomley Conservative 16,570 32.5
Edmund Rooke Reform UK 7,562 14.8
Sonya Mallin Green 3,274 6.4
Morag Chugg Lib Dems 2,708 5.3
Kathryn Attwood Other 364 0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated