Riding profile

Worthing West

UK constituency — England · Mixed · south east

The question

Worthing West: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
0.5
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 27.9%
  • Reform UK 27.4%
  • Labour 23.8%
  • Green 10.4%
  • Lib Dems 7.8%
  • Other 2.3%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Reform UK Labour Green
HereWorthing West 27.9%27.4%23.8%10.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 19.3% +8.5 25.4% +2.0 21.8% +2.0 10.8% −0.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Worthing West, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Dr Beccy Cooper

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
7.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-7.3 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Beccy Cooper Elected Labour 20,519 40.2 —
Peter Bottomley Conservative 16,570 32.5 —
Edmund Rooke Reform UK 7,562 14.8 —
Sonya Mallin Green 3,274 6.4 —
Morag Chugg Lib Dems 2,708 5.3 —
Kathryn Attwood Other 364 0.7 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
100,568
Median age
48
Employment rate
82.5%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029