Riding profile
East Worthing and Shoreham
The question
East Worthing and Shoreham: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
East Worthing and Shoreham, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 28% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Tom Rutland
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEast Worthing and Shoreham | 28.4% | 26.2% | 21.3% | 13.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +6.7 | 25.3% +0.9 | 18.9% +2.4 | 11.8% +1.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rutland Elected | Labour | 22,120 | 45.1 | — |
| Leila Williams | Conservative | 12,601 | 25.7 | — |
| Lionel Harman | Reform UK | 7,169 | 14.6 | — |
| Debbie Woudman | Green | 3,246 | 6.6 | — |
| David Batchelor | Lib Dems | 3,180 | 6.5 | — |
| Frank Ward | Other | 320 | 0.7 | — |
| John Greenshields | Other | 273 | 0.6 | — |
| Ivana Forman | Other | 169 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029