Riding profile
Hove and Portslade
The question
Hove and Portslade: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Hove and Portslade, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 27% for the Green Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Peter Kyle
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHove and Portslade | 33.5% | 27.4% | 17.2% | 8.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +11.8 | 11.8% +15.6 | 25.3% −8.1 | 18.9% −10.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Kyle Elected | Labour | 27,209 | 52.4 | — |
| Sophie Broadbent | Green | 7,418 | 14.3 | — |
| Carline Deal | Conservative | 6,630 | 12.8 | — |
| Martin Hess | Reform UK | 4,558 | 8.8 | — |
| Tanushka Marah | Other | 3,048 | 5.9 | — |
| Michael Wang | Lib Dems | 3,046 | 5.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029