Riding profile
East Grinstead and Uckfield
The question
East Grinstead and Uckfield: a safe seat for the Conservatives?
Editorial read
East Grinstead and Uckfield, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 19% for the Lib Dems, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mims Davies
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Lib Dems | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEast Grinstead and Uckfield | 31.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.3 | 11.6% +7.2 | 11.8% +3.5 | 25.3% −10.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mims Davies Elected | Conservative | 19,319 | 38.3 | — |
| Benedict Dempsey | Lib Dems | 10,839 | 21.5 | — |
| Ben Cox | Labour | 10,440 | 20.7 | — |
| Christina Coleman | Green | 5,277 | 10.5 | — |
| Ian Gibson | Other | 2,482 | 4.9 | — |
| William Highton | Other | 2,036 | 4.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029