Riding profile
Mid Sussex
The question
Mid Sussex: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Mid Sussex, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 33% vote share, against 22% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alison Bennett
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMid Sussex | 33.4% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 13.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +21.7 | 18.9% +3.1 | 25.3% −4.3 | 21.7% −8.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Bennett Elected | Lib Dems | 21,136 | 39.6 | — |
| Kristy Adams | Conservative | 14,474 | 27.1 | — |
| David Rowntree | Labour | 9,397 | 17.6 | — |
| Gary Johnson | Reform UK | 5,921 | 11.1 | — |
| Deanna Nicholson | Green | 2,048 | 3.8 | — |
| Baron Von Thunderclap | Other | 352 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029