Riding profile

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

UK constituency — England · Urban · south east

The question

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 25% for the Green Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Chris Ward

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
2.2
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 28.8%
  • Green 25.1%
  • Conservative 15.5%
  • Reform UK 14.4%
  • Lib Dems 10.3%
  • Other 5.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Conservative Reform UK
HereBrighton Kemptown and Peacehaven 28.8%25.1%15.5%14.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +7.1 11.8% +13.2 18.9% −3.4 25.3% −10.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
23.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-21.6 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Chris Ward Elected Labour 17,893 44.0
Khobi Vallis Conservative 8,230 20.2
Elaine Hills Green 7,997 19.7
Stewart Stone Lib Dems 3,949 9.7
Emma Wall Other 1,833 4.5
Valerie Gray Other 784 1.9

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
96,034
Median age
40
Employment rate
69.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029