Riding profile
Chichester
The question
Chichester: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Chichester, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 39% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jess Brown-Fuller
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChichester | 38.9% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 7.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +27.3 | 25.3% −0.7 | 18.9% +1.6 | 11.8% −3.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Brown-Fuller Elected | Lib Dems | 25,540 | 49.2 | — |
| Gillian Keegan | Conservative | 13,368 | 25.7 | — |
| Teresa De Santis | Reform UK | 7,859 | 15.1 | — |
| Tom Collinge | Labour | 3,175 | 6.1 | — |
| Tim Young | Green | 1,815 | 3.5 | — |
| Andrew Emerson | Other | 190 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029