Riding profile
Godalming and Ash
The question
Godalming and Ash: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Toss-up
- Probability
- 80%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.2
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGodalming and Ash | 35.6% | 35.4% | 17.8% | 6.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +24.2 | 19.3% +16.1 | 25.4% −7.6 | 10.8% −4.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Godalming and Ash, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 36% vote share, against 35% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sir Jeremy Hunt
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hunt Elected | Conservative | 23,293 | 42.6 | — |
| Paul Follows | Lib Dems | 22,402 | 41.0 | — |
| Graham Drage | Reform UK | 4,815 | 8.8 | — |
| James Walsh | Labour | 2,748 | 5.0 | — |
| Ruby Tucker | Green | 1,243 | 2.3 | — |
| Harriet Williams | Other | 195 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029