Riding profile
Farnham and Bordon
The question
Farnham and Bordon: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Farnham and Bordon, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 30% vote share, against 28% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Gregory Stafford
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFarnham and Bordon | 30.0% | 28.1% | 23.0% | 8.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +18.4 | 18.9% +9.2 | 25.3% −2.3 | 21.7% −13.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Stafford Elected | Conservative | 18,951 | 35.8 | — |
| Khalil Yousuf | Lib Dems | 17,602 | 33.2 | — |
| Alex Just | Labour | 7,328 | 13.8 | — |
| Ged Hall | Reform UK | 6,217 | 11.7 | — |
| Claire Matthes | Green | 2,496 | 4.7 | — |
| Don Jerrard | Other | 421 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029