Riding profile
Bradford West
The question
Bradford West: will Labour lose this seat to Other?
Editorial read
Bradford West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 34% vote share, against 19% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Naz Shah
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Labour | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBradford West | 34.4% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +29.6 | 21.7% −2.5 | 25.3% −6.8 | 11.8% +5.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Shah Elected | Labour | 11,724 | 31.6 | — |
| Muhammed Islam | Other | 11,017 | 29.7 | — |
| Khalid Mahmood | Green | 3,690 | 9.9 | — |
| Akeel Hussain | Other | 3,547 | 9.6 | — |
| Nigel Moxon | Conservative | 3,055 | 8.2 | — |
| Jamie Hinton-Wardle | Reform UK | 2,958 | 8.0 | — |
| Imad Ahmed | Lib Dems | 756 | 2.0 | — |
| Umar Ghafoor | Other | 334 | 0.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029