Riding profile
Bristol North East
The question
Bristol North East: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Bristol North East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Green Party ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Damien Egan
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Green
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Green | Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBristol North East | 29.4% | 28.3% | 20.9% | 11.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.8% +17.6 | 21.7% +6.7 | 25.3% −4.4 | 18.9% −7.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Egan Elected | Labour | 19,004 | 45.3 | — |
| Lorraine Francis | Green | 7,837 | 18.7 | — |
| Rose Hulse | Conservative | 6,216 | 14.8 | — |
| Anthony New | Reform UK | 5,418 | 12.9 | — |
| Louise Harris | Lib Dems | 1,964 | 4.7 | — |
| Asif Ali | Other | 1,029 | 2.5 | — |
| Dan Smart | Other | 399 | 0.9 | — |
| Tommy Trueman | Other | 122 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029