Riding profile
Filton and Bradley Stoke
The question
Filton and Bradley Stoke: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Filton and Bradley Stoke, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Claire Hazelgrove
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.8
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFilton and Bradley Stoke | 28.9% | 26.6% | 20.5% | 13.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +7.2 | 25.3% +1.2 | 18.9% +1.6 | 11.8% +1.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Hazelgrove Elected | Labour | 22,905 | 45.5 | — |
| Jack Lopresti | Conservative | 12,905 | 25.6 | — |
| Stephen Burge | Reform UK | 6,819 | 13.5 | — |
| James Nelson | Green | 4,142 | 8.2 | — |
| Benet Allen | Lib Dems | 3,596 | 7.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029