Riding profile
Buckingham and Bletchley
The question
Buckingham and Bletchley: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.6
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBuckingham and Bletchley | 27.3% | 26.7% | 21.6% | 11.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +8.0 | 25.4% +1.3 | 21.8% −0.2 | 10.8% +0.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Buckingham and Bletchley, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 27% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Callum Anderson
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Anderson Elected | Labour | 17,602 | 37.0 | — |
| Iain Stewart | Conservative | 15,181 | 31.9 | — |
| Jordan Cattell | Reform UK | 7,468 | 15.7 | — |
| Dominic Dyer | Lib Dems | 4,300 | 9.0 | — |
| Amanda Onwuemene | Green | 2,590 | 5.4 | — |
| Ray Brady | Other | 500 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029