Riding profile
Buckingham and Bletchley
The question
Buckingham and Bletchley: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Buckingham and Bletchley, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 27% vote share, against 26% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Callum Anderson
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.8
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBuckingham and Bletchley | 27.3% | 26.4% | 23.2% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +1.9 | 18.9% +7.5 | 21.7% +1.6 | 11.8% −0.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Anderson Elected | Labour | 17,602 | 37.0 | — |
| Iain Stewart | Conservative | 15,181 | 31.9 | — |
| Jordan Cattell | Reform UK | 7,468 | 15.7 | — |
| Dominic Dyer | Lib Dems | 4,300 | 9.0 | — |
| Amanda Onwuemene | Green | 2,590 | 5.4 | — |
| Ray Brady | Other | 500 | 1.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029