Riding profile
Milton Keynes Central
The question
Milton Keynes Central: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Milton Keynes Central, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 15-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 29% vote share, against 24% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Emily Darlington
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMilton Keynes Central | 29.0% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 11.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +7.4 | 25.3% −1.7 | 18.9% +3.6 | 11.8% |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Darlington Elected | Labour | 20,209 | 42.3 | — |
| Johnny Luk | Conservative | 12,918 | 27.1 | — |
| David Reilly | Reform UK | 6,245 | 13.1 | — |
| James Cox | Lib Dems | 4,931 | 10.3 | — |
| Frances Bonney | Green | 3,226 | 6.8 | — |
| Alfred Saint-Clair | Other | 200 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029