Riding profile
Chester South and Eddisbury
The question
Chester South and Eddisbury: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.9
- P(close race)
- 77%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChester South and Eddisbury | 30.7% | 25.8% | 20.0% | 10.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +11.4 | 25.4% +0.4 | 21.8% −1.8 | 11.4% −1.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Chester South and Eddisbury, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Aphra Brandreth
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aphra Brandreth Elected | Conservative | 19,905 | 37.9 | — |
| Angeliki Stogia | Labour | 16,848 | 32.1 | — |
| Peter Langley | Reform UK | 6,414 | 12.2 | — |
| Rob Herd | Lib Dems | 5,430 | 10.3 | — |
| Steve Davies | Green | 2,278 | 4.3 | — |
| Gillian Edwards | Other | 1,611 | 3.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029