Riding profile
Mid Cheshire
The question
Mid Cheshire: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Mid Cheshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Andrew Cooper
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMid Cheshire | 33.1% | 26.7% | 17.9% | 10.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +7.8 | 21.7% +5.1 | 18.9% −1.0 | 11.8% −1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Cooper Elected | Labour | 18,457 | 44.5 | — |
| Charles Fifield | Conservative | 9,530 | 23.0 | — |
| Emma Guy | Reform UK | 7,967 | 19.2 | — |
| Jack Price-Harbach | Lib Dems | 2,465 | 5.9 | — |
| Mark Green | Green | 1,967 | 4.7 | — |
| Helen Clawson | Other | 850 | 2.0 | — |
| Stella Mellor | Other | 273 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029