Riding profile
Chorley
The question
Chorley: will Speaker lose this seat to Other?
Editorial read
Chorley, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with another party in the previous cycle, with a 73-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another party ahead at 75% vote share, against 16% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sir Lindsay Hoyle
Sits with Speaker
Current forecast
Other
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 59.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Other | Green | Reform UK | SNP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereChorley | 75.2% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 0.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 4.8% +70.4 | 11.8% +4.2 | 25.3% −17.1 | 2.5% −2.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Hoyle Elected | Other | 25,238 | 74.3 | — |
| Mark Tebbutt | Green | 4,663 | 13.7 | — |
| Ben Holden-Crowther | Other | 2,424 | 7.1 | — |
| Graham Moore | Other | 1,007 | 3.0 | — |
| Martin Powell-Davies | Other | 632 | 1.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029